Sunday, November 3, 2013

Math Not There for FSU to Get By Oregon

For a third straight week, the No. 2 ranking in the BCS standings changes hands, with Florida State narrowly edging Oregon for the spot behind Alabama.

But just like two weeks ago, the Seminoles' stay at No. 2 will be short-lived—if Oregon wins its Thursday night showdown against No. 5 Stanford. And should the Ducks stay unbeaten, they will be pulling away from the Seminoles in the standings the rest of the season, no matter what else happens.

The math just isn't there for Florida State.

FSU has now defeated two unbeaten top 10 teams in three weeks, and gained possibly everything it could from the voters and the computers. The Seminoles are the top-ranked team by the computers this week, with five No. 1s out of the six BCS computers. They also cut into the vote shares of Alabama and Oregon in both polls, even picking up five first-place votes (where they had none last week).

Yet, even with all those gains, Florida State will not get into the BCS title game without either an Alabama or an Oregon loss. Here's the story behind the math:


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