On paper, it looks like a matchup between No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Florida State looks all but inevitable at this point. While the Tide still have the Iron Bowl to contend with and the Seminoles must beat rival Florida and win the ACC title game, the odds are that they will handle their business and then meet up in Pasadena.
But will they?
With three week remaining in the season, a lot of strange things could still happen. (OK, maybe not this week with Alabama playing Chattanooga and FSU facing Idaho.) In fact, in the BCS era, late November and December have been littered with upsets that shattered the hopes and dreams of teams on the verge of playing for the national title.
In order of magnitude, these are our top 10 late-season upsets in the BCS era, considering only a team's penultimate or final regular-season games:
1. UCLA 13, USC 9 (2006): The Trojans, ranked No. 2 in the BCS standings, were only a win away from appearing in their third straight BCS title game. They were in the midst of a tremendous roll, having won 44 of their last 46 games. In easily the biggest upset in the Pete Carroll era, the 6-5 Bruins snapped their seven-game losing streak against their crosstown rivals and USC has not been back in the BCS title game since.
(FULL ARTICLE @ BLEACHER REPORT)