Lots of close calls, but no actual upsets, such is a fairly typical Saturday in November. With the stakes higher for the top teams, they tend to be tighter and more vulnerable. But at least in today's case, they all found a way to pull out victories.
Lots of TV pundits speculated that TCU's close victory would be costly to the Frogs in the BCS standings. That's largely nonsense. San Diego State is a good team and rated reasonably high in the computers. And since margin of victory is not factored in computer ratings, the 5-point win is as good as a 35-point win.
What hurt TCU most today didn't take place in Fort Worth, but a thousand miles away in South Bend, where Utah was annihilated by a heretofore mediocre Notre Dame team that had lost to Navy and Tulsa. The Frogs' 40-point victory over Utah last week was considered their signature win of the season, and now that will certainly be discounted by the voters in the polls.
And the Utes' loss also hurts TCU in the computers in this sense. Typically, late in the season, with most of the games being played in-conference, those games are usually a wash when it comes to computer ratings. But out of conference games matter more, as teams usually play only one team but not the other.
All that said, the top of this week's BCS standings should look remarkably similar to last week's, with only changes in the margins but not the placements. The Guru is projecting the top 10 to be exactly the same as last week, and frankly I do not ever remember this being the case in any of the five years that I have run projections.
So they are:
1. Oregon, 2. Auburn, 3. TCU, 4. Boise State, 5. LSU, 6. Stanford, 7. Wisconsin, 8. Nebraska, 9. Ohio State, 10. Oklahoma State, 11. Michigan State, 12. Alabama, 13. Oklahoma, 14. Arkansas, 15. Missouri.