Tuesday, November 30, 2010

The Guru's BlogPoll Ballot (Week 14)

The Guru's BlogPoll ballot, with a slight chance at the top, more below:

* I don't buy the media's sudden distaste for TCU, which was first unleashed by Rodney Gilmore on ESPN and since picked up by all sorts of talking heads, who've seen TCU probably once all season. OK, TCU's schedule hasn't been murder's row, but neither was Ohio State's (better check the facts before opening your mouth, Gordon Gee!). But if Ohio State is one of only two unbeaten teams left, you think you'd hear a single argument about whether the Buckeyes are worthy?

* That said, I had to move Auburn up to No. 2 after Boise State's loss. The Tigers were lucky to beat Alabama, but we're in the results business. They won, and they have played a much tougher schedule than TCU's. But they should not be ranked ahead of Oregon because ...

* Auburn does NOT play in the toughest conference in the country! The next time I hear that phrase used to describe the SEC I'm going to throw acid on my TV! The toughest conference this season is the Pac-10, yep, the conference that might have only three bowl eligible teams. Of the toughest 11 schedules played this season, nine belong to the Pac-10. The weakest schedule of any conference members is played by Oregon, at No. 19. The Pac-10 is the toughest conference because it plays nine conference games and challenging OOC games. These teams do not schedule, per Gordon Gee, the little sisters of the poor.

* Stanford is hands down the best one-loss team in the country. It's a shame that the Cardinal won't get another shot at Oregon, because these two just might be the two best teams in the country.

* Nevada might be overranked on my ballot a bit, but since they have the same record as Boise State, why shouldn't they be ranked ahead of the Broncos? And there is no way that Boise should be behind any of the one-loss Big Ten teams. Boise's SOS is 62, and the Big Ten trio: Michigan State (60), Ohio State (64), Wisconsin (71).

* Other teams considered this week: Air Force, West Virginia.

5 comments:

Andy said...

Nevada might be overranked on my ballot a bit, but since they have the same record as Boise State, why shouldn't they be ranked ahead of the Broncos?

By that logic shouldn't MSU be ahead of Wisco who should be ahead of tOSU?

I'm not sayin' I'm just sayin'.....

Dale said...

The PAC 10 generally may have played the toughest OOC schedule of any league, but Oregon's OOC schedule was pitiful and disgusting. If you only have 3, you need to make one really shine, and not have two "little sisters of the poor" in Portland State (a mediocre FCS team) and New Mexico (contender for worst FBS team for the second year in a row). Their other one? Tennessee. The team whose best win is against fellow .500 team Kentucky and never played anyone with a pulse close. Let me tell you, that's a rough schedule.....

I would put the ducks at 3rd, after Auburn & TCU.

John Milan said...

LSU has no pulse? In addition to his Rasputin-like powers to will too many players from the opposing team on the field, the Mad Hatter can also put the undead in Tiger uniforms and send them out there.

Underdog Rally said...

While I agree that assessing teams with equal records by their SOS makes sense, I think that's only true if you understand the math behind the SOS calculation.

Several of the computers publish their SOS, and it means something different for each one. I'd suggest either picking the one whose mathematical metholodogy you have the most confidence in, or taking the average of all of them.

I think you're still running into the problem of ranking different teams according to different criteria in order to satisfy a few biases, but your polls have also gotten more consistent. You seem to be trying to inflate the non-AQ presence and average rank. That's a noble goal, but you've had to be very selective in the data you use in order to do so.

Dale said...

While I did forget about the LSU-Tennessee mulit-team debacle, upon further reflection, I don't think it does much to build up their credibility b/c LSU has a knack for being in close games. And that game was only close because LSU was still figuring out their offense, and not b/c of any great effort on the part of Tennessee.

Google