Sunday, September 19, 2010

The Guru's BlogPoll Ballot (Week 4)

How did the Guru earn the top spot for Mr. Stubborn in the Blog Poll last week? Simple. The Guru's ballot has been remarkably consistent, without wild swings one way or the other for most teams. But just what does that mean? Answer below:

* It must be said that the Guru's ballot is very unique this way: It's not only reflective of the events that have taken place so far, but it's also predicative of how these teams would do going forward. And the predicative portion is incrementally influenced by the reflective. Absent of major upsets, of course you'll see little movement on the Guru's ballot this early in the season.

* That being said, it's hardly a case of the Guru sticking to a preseason ranking without shaking things up. For example, Alabama has risen from No. 5 to No. 2, Oregon from No. 9 to No. 7, all without teams ahead of them losing. Michigan is punished this week for winning unimpressively over I-AA UMass. The Guru pays attention to everything.

* Transitive property, a rather controversial concept, is an element in this formula. And why not. Oregon scored 45 unanswered points to wallop Tennessee. But on the same field, a week later, Florida struggled to beat the same Vols team. Of course Oregon should be ranked ahead of Florida. Arizona beats Iowa head-to-head, and absent of other remotely common opponents, the Wildcats have to be ahead of the Hawkeyes.

* "Good losses" are not punished the same way as an average or a bad loss. That's why Penn State, until proven otherwise, kept its ranking despite losing at Alabama. Ditto for Pittsburgh. These two Keystone State teams, plus Iowa, are the only teams with losses that remain on the ballot - they all lost to ranked teams.

* Other teams receiving consideration this week: Oregon State, Houston, South Carolina, Miami (Fla.), Florida State, Air Force, N.C. State, California and Clemson.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

I like your blog!

Why does Missouri continue to move up? They have looked unimpressive. You have them above some very good teams.

Oklahoma State should at least be among those receiving consideration. Neither team has really played anyone, but through 3 games, Ok State's schedule is tougher than Missouri's (sagarin).

"The Guru pays attention to everything."